I don't believe in "cost of production". If Wendy's says it costs them $5 to make a burger and McDonald's says that it costs them $1 to make a burger, how does that really tell us what the cost of a burger should be? If Mine A says it costs them $20 to mine an ounce of silver and Mine B says it costs them $6 to mine an ounce of silver then what does it really cost to mine silver? How could you ever come up with a true "cost of production" figure? It is all relative to each individual mine.
10 years ago the price of silver was around $6.20. So the "cost of production" back then would have been roughly around $6 in order for miners to make money.
That is 3 times less than today's numbers. Do you really think the cost to produce silver has jumped 300% in the last 10 years? If so, why? What factors have contributed to this huge increase in the cost to mine silver?
Bradley,
Thanks for your research into the dollar issue! Good info.
As far as cost of production, when you say you "don't believe in the cost of production", do you mean you believe silver is "free for the pickens" or that mining companies misstate their cost of production?
I am no expert on mining PM's, but even an elementary analysis will lead one to conclude it costs money to run a mine. How much? I don't know. There are some primary miners (see below link) that say 16 is all in cost. Some non primary miners might not be dependent on their silver income since they are primarily mining other metals, but don't think that reduced income has NO effect. I would imagine companies that are not primary miners are still making less on the silver they mine, even though perhaps they are not dependent on it. At the end of the year this will mean less profits than if silver were selling for, say 26 or 30 or 35, etc. Sort of like if your grandparents always send you 1000 every Christmas, when they stop sending you will notice (if you are a kid).
When you see a mining company say their cost of production for silver is something like, say 5 dollars per ounce, why not look at their past few years financials and see how much "profit" they made. If their P/E ratio is negative, then ask yourself "how can their cost of production be 5 bucks, when they lose money in a year? Is it just one year they lost money, or over several years, and even some of those years where say silver was 26 per ounce. Some mining companies were not making a profit when silver was 26, so how they survive now I don't know.
From what I have read, over time many mines have the "easy find" metals depleted and have to go deeper or into more hard to reach places. Plus (up until a few months or so ago) fuel prices had been going up quite a bit (double from 2008). Oil will probably go back up after the elections next month (just my opinion).
I cannot say definitively what it costs to mine silver or gold, but I can read a company's balance sheet. The proof is in the pudding as they say.
Meanwhile, give this a listen. It is an interview with the CEO of one of the largest primary silver miners in the world (not some dumb ass silver pundit guru magic man spouting info out of his a$$).
Just my opinion,
Jim