bigscoop
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I think the evidence in the story itself tells us that there is something noticeably wrong with the presented key and ciphers. Either they were simply constructed to be an intricate part of a fiction tale, or, they have been greatly altered to prevent solution through the use of a single key, as the story suggest.
In the first case this would mean that the is no treasure and the story has been fabricated purely for entertainment purposes, which is likely. However, the second scenario might suggest that the story could be true but that the ciphers were never meant to be decoded by the general public.
With all of this in mind let us step back and consider that the story may have been written and published, not for the general public, but with the hope of catching the attention of someone who was completely unknown to the author. If this is a possibility then the obvious question here is; why was this individual so important that our unknown author would go through such a trial in an effort to contact him? At first it seems highly unlikely that such a reason might exist but perhaps, given the right circumstances, such a situation did exist. But if this most unusual situation did exist then it might also explain all of the dependencies in the author's tale.
So, what if the situation required that you publish all of the details without risk of someone unconcerned being able to decode the ciphers? Well, you might print the entire story so your targeted individual would recognize those details and make the required “connexions”, the only required deception in the process being the altering of the ciphers so that they couldn't be decoded even with the correct key. Once this was done you would be free to circulate the publication without fear of possible solution.
The second requirement in your tale would be to make clear to the right individual that you, and only you, possess the solutions to all of the real ciphers, and in doing so you might make the obscure statement that you, “had no difficulty in mastering the others.” You might also go on to explain that this success, by itself, still presented the “veriest illusion.” In doing this you are, in essence, telling the targeted individual that you have everything else solved less that one vital piece of missing unintelligible paper which you hope they still possess. In fact, you're even going to go as far as to declare in your tale that it is your hope that the publishing of the story will draw someone's attention to that very item.
In essence you have presented the general public with an entertaining tale that harbors no solution, yet you have also still managed to place all of the real details in front of that important individual who is completely unknown to you, if in fact, such a piece of paper and an individual of appropriate knowledge still survives in the region? In the end you have a single publication with two distinctly different designs, a publication that is both entertainment and bait.
If I really wanted to protect something with three ciphers then only a fool would give all three of those ciphers to the same man for a period of ten years. In ten years time it would be very possible that the holder of those ciphers could “accidentally” discover the key to those ciphers, just as our unknown author claims he had. So in order to protect against this then I would have to introduce a device that safeguards against this happening. So how might I do that?
In his letter Beale tells Morriss that if required the key will be delivered to him and we assume this to mean by mail but would we really risk this? Not very likely that we would, especially in the early 1800's when sending anything by mail was so uncertain. However, we might use a trusted courier, a courier who not only carries the required key but also that other required piece of intelligible paper that is also vital in arriving at an accurate solution. By adding this extra device we have introduced a means that totally safeguards against accidental solution as neither individual could arrive at that total solution without the presence of the other. Now my ciphers are truly protected, especially cipher number 1, that most critical of them all.
So let us step back and just for giggles let us assume for a moment that this could be the situation our unknown author found himself in so many years ago. In this scenario he would be sitting on three completed ciphers without total solution, the thought of all that wealth so close at hand and yet so far away. In the 1880's it would be doubtful that many of the original participants in the Beale party were still alive and yet if we really had decoded C3 then it is possible that our unknown author was then able to narrow down the general region in which these men and their families lived. What a better place to attempt to rattle the bushes in his search for that vital piece of missing paper.
“[FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]It would be difficult to portray the delight he experienced when accident revealed to him the explanation of the paper marked "2." Unmeaning, as this had hitherto been, it was now fully explained, [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]and no difficulty was apprehended in mastering the others;[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] but this accident, affording so much pleasure at the time, was a most unfortunate one for him, as it induced him to neglect family, friends, and all legitimate pursuits for what has proved, so far, [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]the veriest illusion.” [/FONT]
[FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] “it may possibly remain in the hands of some relative or friend of Beale's, or some other person engaged in the enterprise with him. That they would attach no importance to a seemingly unintelligible writing[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] seems quite natural; [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]but their attention being called to them by the publication of this narrative,[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] may result in eventually bringing to light the missing paper.” [/FONT]
Two things strike me in the above quotes from the author's story; A) why is he confessing that he had no difficulty in mastering the others, and what others is he referring to? The only others that remained after C2 would be C1 & C3. And B), how does he know that an unintelligible missing piece of paper is still required? Unintelligible simply means that by itself the missing paper would hold no understandable meaning, so very clearly he is not referencing an understandable text of any kind.
So obviously this alleged missing paper isn't an intelligible writing of any kind and yet this is exactly what our unknown author is directing his readers to locate. Our unknown author already claims to have all three ciphers and he also claims that by accident he was also able to discover the key. So if he already has the original ciphers and their solutions, and the key, then what else might he still be lacking, and how might he go about finding it if he doesn't know who might still possibly possess it? Well, if he was really desperate and he knew where it is likely to exist perhaps he might publish a story in search of that vital missing paper. Wouldn't be the first time that publications were used in such a way.
The Dupers. Most people read these various duper examples that I've posted and they tend to associate them with the discrediting of the tale, their obvious existence lending to the notion that the entire tale was a simple fabrication bearing no measure of truth. But this isn't the only possibility that these dupers suggest. They also suggest that the possibility that the publication was written with two distinctly different designs, one for the general public and another for a very specific targeted audience.
In other words, if the story holds any measure of truth then our unknown author had to know more then he expressed and he also had to know that this mysterious unintelligible paper had really existed. So, why did the author suggest that there was a missing unintelligible paper? Did he do it to mislead his readers and to send them on an entertaining fruitless hunt, or, did he do it because he knew it really existed? Here again, it becomes a question of fact or fiction? This you'll have to weigh for yourself.
In the first case this would mean that the is no treasure and the story has been fabricated purely for entertainment purposes, which is likely. However, the second scenario might suggest that the story could be true but that the ciphers were never meant to be decoded by the general public.
With all of this in mind let us step back and consider that the story may have been written and published, not for the general public, but with the hope of catching the attention of someone who was completely unknown to the author. If this is a possibility then the obvious question here is; why was this individual so important that our unknown author would go through such a trial in an effort to contact him? At first it seems highly unlikely that such a reason might exist but perhaps, given the right circumstances, such a situation did exist. But if this most unusual situation did exist then it might also explain all of the dependencies in the author's tale.
So, what if the situation required that you publish all of the details without risk of someone unconcerned being able to decode the ciphers? Well, you might print the entire story so your targeted individual would recognize those details and make the required “connexions”, the only required deception in the process being the altering of the ciphers so that they couldn't be decoded even with the correct key. Once this was done you would be free to circulate the publication without fear of possible solution.
The second requirement in your tale would be to make clear to the right individual that you, and only you, possess the solutions to all of the real ciphers, and in doing so you might make the obscure statement that you, “had no difficulty in mastering the others.” You might also go on to explain that this success, by itself, still presented the “veriest illusion.” In doing this you are, in essence, telling the targeted individual that you have everything else solved less that one vital piece of missing unintelligible paper which you hope they still possess. In fact, you're even going to go as far as to declare in your tale that it is your hope that the publishing of the story will draw someone's attention to that very item.
In essence you have presented the general public with an entertaining tale that harbors no solution, yet you have also still managed to place all of the real details in front of that important individual who is completely unknown to you, if in fact, such a piece of paper and an individual of appropriate knowledge still survives in the region? In the end you have a single publication with two distinctly different designs, a publication that is both entertainment and bait.
If I really wanted to protect something with three ciphers then only a fool would give all three of those ciphers to the same man for a period of ten years. In ten years time it would be very possible that the holder of those ciphers could “accidentally” discover the key to those ciphers, just as our unknown author claims he had. So in order to protect against this then I would have to introduce a device that safeguards against this happening. So how might I do that?
In his letter Beale tells Morriss that if required the key will be delivered to him and we assume this to mean by mail but would we really risk this? Not very likely that we would, especially in the early 1800's when sending anything by mail was so uncertain. However, we might use a trusted courier, a courier who not only carries the required key but also that other required piece of intelligible paper that is also vital in arriving at an accurate solution. By adding this extra device we have introduced a means that totally safeguards against accidental solution as neither individual could arrive at that total solution without the presence of the other. Now my ciphers are truly protected, especially cipher number 1, that most critical of them all.
So let us step back and just for giggles let us assume for a moment that this could be the situation our unknown author found himself in so many years ago. In this scenario he would be sitting on three completed ciphers without total solution, the thought of all that wealth so close at hand and yet so far away. In the 1880's it would be doubtful that many of the original participants in the Beale party were still alive and yet if we really had decoded C3 then it is possible that our unknown author was then able to narrow down the general region in which these men and their families lived. What a better place to attempt to rattle the bushes in his search for that vital piece of missing paper.
“[FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]It would be difficult to portray the delight he experienced when accident revealed to him the explanation of the paper marked "2." Unmeaning, as this had hitherto been, it was now fully explained, [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]and no difficulty was apprehended in mastering the others;[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] but this accident, affording so much pleasure at the time, was a most unfortunate one for him, as it induced him to neglect family, friends, and all legitimate pursuits for what has proved, so far, [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]the veriest illusion.” [/FONT]
[FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] “it may possibly remain in the hands of some relative or friend of Beale's, or some other person engaged in the enterprise with him. That they would attach no importance to a seemingly unintelligible writing[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] seems quite natural; [/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times]but their attention being called to them by the publication of this narrative,[/FONT][FONT=Book Antiqua, Times New Roman, Times] may result in eventually bringing to light the missing paper.” [/FONT]
Two things strike me in the above quotes from the author's story; A) why is he confessing that he had no difficulty in mastering the others, and what others is he referring to? The only others that remained after C2 would be C1 & C3. And B), how does he know that an unintelligible missing piece of paper is still required? Unintelligible simply means that by itself the missing paper would hold no understandable meaning, so very clearly he is not referencing an understandable text of any kind.
So obviously this alleged missing paper isn't an intelligible writing of any kind and yet this is exactly what our unknown author is directing his readers to locate. Our unknown author already claims to have all three ciphers and he also claims that by accident he was also able to discover the key. So if he already has the original ciphers and their solutions, and the key, then what else might he still be lacking, and how might he go about finding it if he doesn't know who might still possibly possess it? Well, if he was really desperate and he knew where it is likely to exist perhaps he might publish a story in search of that vital missing paper. Wouldn't be the first time that publications were used in such a way.
The Dupers. Most people read these various duper examples that I've posted and they tend to associate them with the discrediting of the tale, their obvious existence lending to the notion that the entire tale was a simple fabrication bearing no measure of truth. But this isn't the only possibility that these dupers suggest. They also suggest that the possibility that the publication was written with two distinctly different designs, one for the general public and another for a very specific targeted audience.
In other words, if the story holds any measure of truth then our unknown author had to know more then he expressed and he also had to know that this mysterious unintelligible paper had really existed. So, why did the author suggest that there was a missing unintelligible paper? Did he do it to mislead his readers and to send them on an entertaining fruitless hunt, or, did he do it because he knew it really existed? Here again, it becomes a question of fact or fiction? This you'll have to weigh for yourself.