Goldmanford said:
Never really understood odds very much - there's a 20% chance of rain, a 50% chance of snow, whatever.
My odds that anyone of us will find a 1913 V is 50% - you either will or you won't. Same way with snow or rain or Barber dimes. Maybe I should have paid attention is school more!
"Will find" and "Won't find" are the two possible outcomes, but each outcome has a very different probability of occurring.
If i had a true 50/50 chance at winning the lottery because i either will win or won't win, then I would play every day!!
But then again, i like to think that i have a 50/50 shot at a supermodel (regardless of my probability of being rejected)....so maybe you're on to something in terms of self-confidence