www.goldprice.org is a website that I like to use for checking on the gold price. They even have a cool little app for my phone that I can click on and check prices whenever I want. A guy named Franklin Anders makes commentaries on what the gold price is doing and what he expects it is going to do.
Here is a commentary he made yesterday after gold plummeted down back to the $1580's.
Today y'all saw a very overbought gold and silver market spooked by silly, inconsequential news. The euro eased up on hopes that an EU summit would fix the sovereign debt crisis (it won't), then O'Bama said the budget plan floated by the "Gang of Six" senators might break the impasse over raising the federal debt ceiling (not likely).
Even if the Gang of Six plan were adopted, it would only cut $4 trillion over 10 years -- they have to multiply the reductions by 10 years, otherwise you couldn't find them with an electron microscope. But multiply a $3.5 trillion budget, which WILL NOT stop growing, by 10 to $35 trillion, then divide $4 trillion by that. It's a minute 11.4%. Friends, when over 30% of income in the US comes from direct federal government spending, that's not a dwarf star in a dark sky.
The European crisis will be papered over with a "re-scheduling" which will bail out the banks and feed those tapeworms even more fatly and permanently on the victim countries. The debt ceiling question is 100% theater, as every goof involved knows they have no choice and no will but to raise the debt ceiling. They are quibbling about $100 million. If you were spending too much on your $2000 monthly budget and tightened your belt by a like amount you would be struggling along on only $1,999.94. Drama, the theater of the despicable.
But the Beast of Muddy Brain can't see it, and so is sucked in to its own destruction and deceit, flaring in empty hope when O'Bama speaks a kind word toward a deal.
To fix the problem requires a will to let the bankrupt fail, let unemployment rise, let bad debt be written off, suffer two years of economic agony, and never again be seduced by the Keynesian stupidity that government can guarantee prosperity by borrowing and spending. Or that individuals can prosper by borrowing to consume. Since you won't see that until Ben Bernancubus can walk on water, you will see more of the same stupidity until finally the machine grinds to a hyperinflationary halt and a dictator arises to decorate the lampposts with bankers and their politician flunkies. Pray for a better outcome.
The GOLD PRICE hit $1,609.89 today and was rolling along for what anyone might have expected to be an easy down day. Comex closed down only $1.20 at $1,600.90 after a $1,609.90 high. Then came the announcement shortly after the close, and in less than half an hour after market gold dropped to $1,585, then to $1,582.30. Support lies at $1,575 - $1,580, then $1,560. Lowest extent of the fall will probably hit tomorrow, for I don't expect this to last long. Unless gold drops significantly below $1,560, I believe it has begun a new rally. But watch $1,560, and the 20 DMA at $1,430.
Absent that gainsaying below-$1,560 close, the GOLD PRICE should reach $1,675 before it really corrects.