The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back

[geowizard]

Weather in the news! El Niño...

It's worth a look!
The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back


- Geowizard

 

[Mackaydon]

Yesterday, while I was witnessing high tide at the Carlsbad, Ca. beach, a TV crew was doing an interview next to the boulders that form a seawall. You an imagine what happened next.
A set of waves came in and inundated the reporter and his cameraman. A crowd was nearby and applauded.
A bit of humor is necessary when considering the physical destruction; roads, seaside parking lots, local businesses that rely on beachgoers traffic; even the AMTRAK line next to the ocean.

The cost to repair this El Nino in Calif will be in the billions and take years--if ever started.

The waves now bang against the seawall. As they retreat, only cobblestones remain where once were wide sandy beaches. It's a wonder of nature to watch, but sad to realize the results.
Don in SoCal

 

[djackson7348]

Yesterday, while I was witnessing high tide at the Carlsbad, Ca. beach, a TV crew was doing an interview next to the boulders that form a seawall. You an imagine what happened next.
A set of waves came in and inundated the reporter and his cameraman. A crowd was nearby and applauded.
A bit of humor is necessary when considering the physical destruction; roads, seaside parking lots, local businesses that rely on beachgoers traffic; even the AMTRAK line next to the ocean.

The cost to repair this El Nino in Calif will be in the billions and take years--if ever started.

The waves now bang against the seawall. As they retreat, only cobblestones remain where once were wide sandy beaches. It's a wonder of nature to watch, but sad to realize the results.
Don in SoCal

I feel for those who are suffering damages, but man will never beat nature. Maybe instead of people having to own those million dollars lots that run to the beach, for no other reason than to prove their wealth, there could have been maybe a 500-foot buffer between high tide and private property. That buffer would make more beach accessible to everyone and look at how many billions of dollars in damages could have been prevented over the years. I don't mean just California but all coastlines. I know there has been somewhere close to 30 houses washed away here on the North Carolina beaches in the last couple years. How much lower would the bill for hurricane damages have been? Exceptions could be made for necessary shipping ports, public beach access, etc. but no private home, condos and such right at the waters edge.

 

[Crow]

Mankind has an arrogance that we are masters of the planet. In truth, we are at the mercy of Mother Nature; always have been, always will.

Crow

 

[AstralDruid]

The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back​

or so we are told..

 

[newnan man]

The Bible talks about the foolish man who builds on the sand. That's basically the entire coast of Florida with the exception of a few parks.

 

[Crow]

The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back​

or so we are told..

1877 was a different world back then compared with the technology we have today. So an event today would be treated entirely differently from how it was treated in India in 1877. It was the same during the Irish potato famine caused by potato blight. Ignorance and greed were two driving factors that exacerbated the 1877 event back then.

Crow

 

[pepperj]

Yesterday, while I was witnessing high tide at the Carlsbad, Ca. beach, a TV crew was doing an interview next to the boulders that form a seawall. You an imagine what happened next.
A set of waves came in and inundated the reporter and his cameraman. A crowd was nearby and applauded.
A bit of humor is necessary when considering the physical destruction; roads, seaside parking lots, local businesses that rely on beachgoers traffic; even the AMTRAK line next to the ocean.

The cost to repair this El Nino in Calif will be in the billions and take years--if ever started.

The waves now bang against the seawall. As they retreat, only cobblestones remain where once were wide sandy beaches. It's a wonder of nature to watch, but sad to realize the results.
Don in SoCal

Time to go for a little stroll with the detector. No sand might produce a few older recoveries.

 

[Crow]

People do not understand that coastlines are constantly receding and changing due to erosion. This is a natural process, while weather events and human events can exacerbate and escalate coastal erosion. The problem djackson7348 nailed on the head. In Western culture, owning waterfront property is seen as a status symbol; in the Philippines, for example, it is seen as property of the urban poor. Property is bought and built on an ever-changing, unsuitable coastline can pay a high price for ignorance. Not global warming, but the natural process of coastline erosion.

Here is a classic example on the Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. You can see the rips along the beach sucking the sand away with each storm surge. The coastline of sand is washing away. Now financially committed, as the city is built on a sand spit, every year millions of dollars are paid to pump sand back onto eroding beaches. This stupidity is repeated in the United States and in many places around the world.

El Niño has always existed, but mankind's arrogance, stupidity, and greed have prevailed over the last century or so.

And yes, the sands on the beach are bling central to detect.

Crow

 

[pepperj]

The Forrest Gump quote: "Stupid is as stupid does"

Building on a 100-year floodplain (an area with a 1% annual chance of flooding) is generally permitted by local and federal authorities.

A 100-year floodplain means there is a 1% chance of a major flood every year, translating to a ~26% chance over a typical 30-year mortgage.
Base Flood Elevation (BFE): Most codes require the lowest habitable floor of the structure to be elevated at least 1 to 2 feet (or more, depending on local ordinances) above the BFE

Yet every year my insurance rates go up because of stupidity of mankind getting compensated for the inevitable.

 

[robertk]

Building on a 100-year floodplain (an area with a 1% annual chance of flooding) is generally permitted by local and federal authorities.

I saw that in California. People building houses right along those beautiful mountain streams at the bottom of the canyon. And every few years a good rain or snow melt would wash down the gully and clear them all out. I commented to one of the locals that maybe they’d stop building there, and he said “Nah, they’ll build it right back. Insurance pays for it so they don’t care.”

 

[geowizard]

The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back​

or so we are told..

Use Critical thinking... Check out the sources!

1877–1878 El Niño event - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

- Geowizard

 

[geowizard]

The Bible talks about the foolish man who builds on the sand. That's basically the entire coast of Florida with the exception of a few parks.

I think that was a parable, not an engineering statement!

- Geowizard

 

[newnan man]

I think that was a parable, not an engineering statement!

- Geowizard

No, it's common sense.

 

[geowizard]

We can debate semantics and true meaning of a religious verse or let AI settle it.

AI in this case takes human bias out of the discussion.

(not my words)

"What the Story Says:

• The Wise Builder: Listens to Jesus’ words and puts them into practice, comparing them to a man who digs deep and builds his house on solid rock. When rain, floods, and winds beat against the house, it does not fall.

• The Foolish Builder: Hears Jesus’ teachings but chooses not to obey or act on them, comparing them to a man who builds his house directly on the sand without a deep foundation. When the storm comes—rain, rising streams, and heavy winds—the house collapses with a great crash.

What the Parable Means

• Hearing vs. Doing: The story teaches that merely listening to spiritual or moral truth is not enough; true stability requires living it out.

• Testing Times: Storms (hardships, trials, and life challenges) test what a person's life or faith is built upon.

• According to community discussion on Quora, users reach a consensus that building on the rock represents basing one's life on God's truth and Jesus's teachings, while building on sand represents relying on temporary, self-made, or worldly ideas that fail under pressure."

- Geowizard

 

[geowizard]

The issue at hand;

The El Niño That Killed 50 Million People Is Back​

Although any statement can come under debate, certain facts remain as recorded history.
Weather phenomenon as in any weather forecast remains to be seen!

Reservoirs like Lake Mead are drying up. Lake Mead supplies electric power to much of the Western US.

- Geowizard

 

[geowizard]

Certain facts are undeniable;

Caution, AI content follows! Put on your Critical thinking hat!

Lake Mead sits at an elevation of 1,037.71 to 1,037.92 feet above mean sea level (MSL) and is approximately 26% full, according to data from Lake Mead Water Level Today.

Current Pool Status & Key Numbers

• Current Elevation: ~1,037.71 feet MSL (down ~191.29 feet from full pool).

• Full Pool Level: 1,229.00 feet MSL.

• Capacity: ~26% of total storage capacity.

• Trend: Falling slightly (about 0.28 to 0.46 feet over the past week).

• Hydropower Cliff: 1,035.00 feet MSL (just about 3 feet below current levels; forces turbine cutbacks to prevent mechanical damage).

• Minimum Power Pool: 950.00 feet MSL (level where Hoover Dam turbines can no longer run reliably).

• Dead Pool: 895.00 feet MSL (level below which water cannot flow out by gravity).

Recent Context

• The reservoir set record lows in August 2026 after dropping below previous low-water marks.

• Recent autumn storms brought minor moisture to Southern Nevada, but did not cause a major shift in the lake's long-term downward trend.

• Federal rules governing Colorado River water allocations (the 2007/2019 Drought Contingency Plan) are set to expire at the end of December 2026, and lower-basin states are actively negotiating new replacement frameworks.

Ed comment: Added emphasis on "end of December 2026".

- Geowizard

 

[geowizard]

Now then, what might the "Drought Contingency plan" for 2027 and 2028 be?



- Geowizard

 

[pepperj]

Yes, AI can absolutely make mistakes. While artificial intelligence is incredibly powerful, it is fundamentally a probability machine that predicts what is most likely to be true rather than "knowing" facts. Because it relies entirely on patterns in training data and human instructions, it is far from perfect.

AND THAT'S A FACT JACK

 

[robertk]

We can debate semantics and true meaning of a religious verse or let AI settle it.

Oh, well, if AI said it then it MUST be true!