storms rolling off of Africa (tropics heating up)

[GatorBoy]

The Intertropical Convergence Zone looks like it will be heating up in the near future.. A lot of moist air seems like it will be pushing away the Saharan dust layer also

 

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[GatorBoy]

We will get plenty of swells.
Depending on its strength storm surge also... Coming from a good angle from the north that can do some good

 

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[lookindown]

We will get plenty of swells.
Depending on its strength storm surge also... Coming from a good angle from the north that can do some good

I think your right...just looked at the Cocoa Beach web cam and some nice waves are already churning the surf.

 

[GatorBoy]

Tues/wed much more

 

[hubcap76]

Not even on the outskirts of the cone of shame, slowing down a little but looks like it's staying way west now

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[bigscoop]

The big clue......"this one has a Spanish name!" Going to be old Spanish stuff on the beach everywhere!

 

[GatorBoy]

I started this thread when I saw the dry air that had been covering most of the Atlantic getting replaced by some good moist monsoon air coming off of Africa it seems like what I thought was going to happen is starting to happen there's another storm behind this one and what to me looks like a much better one just coming off of Africa

 

[lookindown]

Not even on the outskirts of the cone of shame, slowing down a little but looks like it's staying way west now

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Yeah, now its forecast track is showing it to start moving Northeast...looks like it will come closer to North Carolina than it does to Florida.

 

[seeker41]

this thing is acting very weird!!! cone of uncertainty is still quite close to floridas coast on the east side! i guess we will just wait and see.
a series of depressions, storms, hurricanes that just cause the right kind of surf/swells can be just as good as a big cane!! anythings better than what we've had for the last year or so.

...................... a fairly strong disturbance (97L) now S/SW of the Cape Verdes with isolated convection is westbound - but is unlikely to show significant development for at least the next 4 days as the system is embedded within the dry and warm Saharan Air Layer (SAL), By Friday, the system will have a notable chance for development. An even stronger wave now over Africa should emerge off the coast next weekend.

chuck.

 

[el padron]

I second that. There are still places that havent been rebuilt after that monster hit. Thats what they call a sawblade storm. Just hauled ass a ripped right through.

sponge using smoke signals.

It would take very little to cause unbelievable damage and lots of casualties, The 24 foot storm surge caused by a large well placed and timed category two or three would kill a lot of people.
Many of the amateur meteorologists here would cry like babies for weeks forever psycologically scarred if they survived or had to deal with an aftermath scenario.
They live in a sheltered world and have absolutely no clue at all.

 

[GatorBoy]

Ok now that's a bit much 24 foot storm surge from what? Never seen such a thing never even heard of such a thing.
I've been through category 2 and 3 storms on the coast.
A few people unfortunately did pass away some by some mishaps like driving in water that was too deep I think one was electrical.
I was without power for almost 2 weeks that got old.
I was the superintendent for a new home builder at that time... What an unbelievable amount of work before and after

 

[Treasure_Hunter]

Katrina had storm surge over 25 foot at couple locations.


U.S. City Records

If you find references for the highest storm surge on record for a U.S. city not listed here, send the info (and URL documenting the record), to: jmasters@wunderground.com.

Alabama

Mobile:
11.6', July 5, 1916 Hurricane
11.45', Hurricane Katrina, 2005

Dauphin Island:
9.2', Hurricane Camille, 1969
7.7', July 5, 1916 Hurricane

Gulf Shores:
11.8', September 1906 hurricane
9.1', Hurricane Camille, 1969

Florida

Coconut Grove:
15', Great Miami Hurricane of 1926

Louisiana

New Orleans Lakefront Airport:
11.8', Hurricane Katrina, 2005

Grand Isle:
12.0', Hurricane Katrina, 2005

Port Fourchon:
8.0', Hurricane Katrina, 2005

Mississippi

Bay St. Louis:
25.0', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
21.7', Hurricane Camille, 1969
15.2', September 1947 Hurricane

Pass Christian:
27.8', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
22.6', Hurricane Camille, 1969
13.4', September 1947 Hurricane

Long Beach:
25.7', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
21.6', Hurricane Camille, 1969
14.0', September 1947 Hurricane

Gulfport:
24.5', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
21.0', Hurricane Camille, 1969
14.0', September 1947 Hurricane

Biloxi:
22.0', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
19.5', Hurricane Camille, 1969
11.1', September 1947 Hurricane

Pascagoula:
18.0', Hurricane Katrina, 2005
11.8', Hurricane Camille, 1969
9.0', September 1947 Hurricane

New Jersey

Atlantic City:
7.0', March 1962 Ash Wednesday Nor'easter
4.0', January 1956 Nor'easter

Sandy Hook:
5.2', March 1962 Ash Wednesday Nor'easter
4.0', January 1956 Nor'easter

Texas

Port Lavaca:
22.8', Hurricane Carla, 1961

Corpus Christi:
12', Atlantic-Gulf Hurricane of 1919

Virginia

Norfolk (Sewell's Point):
9', March 1962 Ash Wednesday Nor'easter
7.9', Hurricane Isabel, 2003
6.4', Chesapeake-Potomac Hurricane, 1933
5.96', November 13, 2009 Nor'easter
4.9', February 5, 1998 Nor'easter
4.54' Hurricane Irene, August 27, 2011

North Carolina

Oregon Inlet:
7.09', Hurricane Irene, August 27, 2011
Calabash/Carolina Shores:
18', Hurricane Hazel, October 15, 1954.
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/surge_us_records.asp

 

[GatorBoy]

Good bunch of info there thank you.
I suppose putting a category 4 in the position to push water into a bend or bay at the right angle would funnel the storm surge in and push way back.
Katrina was also a category 5 pushing in for a good distance

 

[GatorBoy]

On another note the way this storm is setup right now the gradient is creating a good amount of wind covering a pretty large amount of water this is going to spread swells along our coast at a really good angle ....with winds coming from the north east this could do us more good than we think

 

[Treasure_Hunter]

Storm surge depends greatly on how deep and how the bottom is shaped off shore, a long, flat shallow offshore would not give you the storm surge a deep, steep off shore would...

 

[GatorBoy]

We're getting a northeast wind already

 

[GatorBoy]

 

[GatorBoy]

Hello Dolly?

 

[penzfan]

Getting a bit windy around here...

 

[GatorBoy]

It is..... It sure is...

 

[sponge]

Winds cranking in Stuart.

sponge using smoke signals.